EMPLOYMENT Print E-mail
Submitted on 10/02/2010
One major aim of the government's “2031 Directions” document was to provide local employment. On this basis they have envisioned industrial and commercial centres in different parts of Perth to accommodate the growing population.

This is a sensible argument given global warming, the ever increasing cost of petrol and the time it takes many people to get to work. However when these industrial centres become more than twice what is needed to serve the population base of a city or shire, then the opposite affect will be created and large amounts of people will end up travelling long distances to work at these industrial complexes. We believe that this is about to happen in Wanneroo.

The current population of the City of Stirling is around 192,000 people. It has an average economic industrial base, Balcatta + Osborne Park, and according to the 2006 census its industrial base (manufacturing, wholesale and warehousing/transport) employs 21.3% of the city's workforce.

Wanneroo already has two large industrial estates, Neerabup and Wangara. When you combine the area of these two parcels of land along with the proposed South Pinjar estate you have approximately four to five times the industrial land currently available within the City of Stirling with a population of 192,000 people or enough for 768,000 people. According to the 2006 census its industrial base (manufacturing, wholesale and warehousing/transport) employs 24.4% of the city of Wanneroo's workforce.

On current estimates the population for the City of Wanneroo in 2030 is only expected to be 302,00 and yet it would seem they are planning industrial development in the City of Wanneroo for a population of 768,000 people (if the model of Stirling is used).

Why is the government trying to justify placing industry on a P1 drinking water area of the Gnangara Mound on the basis that it needs enough industrial land to serve the employment needs of Wanneroo's growing population?

This is particularly baffling when you realise that 62% of the City of Stirling workers have to commute into the City of Stirling every day because they live outside its boundaries. The City of Stirling's employment self sufficiency ratio is around 78% (this figure is based on the 2006 census data).

The animation below illustrates how many times the Balcatta and Osbourne Park industrial estates will fit into Wanneroo's industrial area's. Press the play button to view animation.


AnimationClick here to view a larger version of the animation.

Conclusion, the City of Wanneroo would need no more than twice the industrial land area currently available in the City of Stirling (Balcatta + Osborne Park) when Wanneroo's population reaches 370,970 people.

Do the math and decide for yourself whether or not Wanneroo needs four to five times the amount of industrial land that currently exists in the City of Stirling (Balcatta + Osborne Park) to serve its future needs.

StatisticsFor a more in depth analysis of these numbers click here:
ftp://ftp.intuitive.com/pub/sourcecode/coolweb.zip
Click on this link to view the stats for the City of Wanneroo.
http://profile.id.com.au/Default.aspx?id=137&pg=322&gid=10&type=enum

Click on this link to view the stats for the City of Stirling.
http://profile.id.com.au/Default.aspx?id=270&pg=322&gid=10&type=enum

How can the Government justify placing industry within the Priority one public drinking water resource area of the Gnangara mound based on the premise that it needs to do so for local employment?

Some may seek to justify the need for such a large amount of industrial land in the City of Wanneroo on the basis that Wanneroo should be­ a major industrial hub of Perth and have 46% of its workforce employed in the manufacturing, wholesale and warehousing/transport sectors like the City of Belmont.

We believe unbalanced economic development in favour of industry would have major negative ramifications on house values, health and lifestyle of residents - especially those living in East Wanneroo and surrounding suburbs. Instead of having a positive impact on the economic index for citizens it will be negative.

There are 30 Shires in the Perth metropolitan area. The shires that rely on industry as the main base for their economy lie on the bottom half of this index. In other words they are the most disadvantaged. Belmont for example is the second most disadvantaged city in Perth.

Click here to read more on the “Social Impacts” of employment policy.

Conclusion
If Wanneroo kept the same ratio of industrial employment as it had in the 2006 census, it would only need 2 times the amount of industrial land as Stirling by 2031 – not 4 to 5 times the amount.
 

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